With 5 games left in the pool, there are 32 possible outcomes.

17 entries remain alive to finish in the money (Top 3), including 5 entries that could win the pool.  The current leader, Francis Martin, is in the driver’s seat.  He wins the pool in 62.5% of the possible scenarios, and he has an 84% chance of finishing in the money.  Other potential winners include Nicholas Monaco (18% chance to win, 39% chance in the money), Rick Grubb (13% chance to win, 29% chance in the money), Matt Snare (5% chance to win, 26% chance in the money), and Stephanie Everett (2% chance to win, 7% chance in the money).

While Kylie Snyder can’t finish ahead of Francis, she has the highest odds of finishing in 2nd or 3rd place (50% chance).  Raj Basavaraju (14% chance), Lowell Snare (12% chance), Sherryl Snare (9% chance), Brendan Galligan (6% chance), and Tom Hank (6% chance) all have a greater than 5% chance to finish in the money.  Six other entries (Jason Edelen, Andrew Lessner, Jeff Parker, Miriam Snare, Tony Chan, and Jeff Roberta) are long-shots, but are still mathematically alive.

And plenty of entries are still alive for last place 😉

Enjoy the games on January 2nd!